Urban determining factors of housing prices in Chile: a statistical exploration

Authors

  • José Francisco Vergara-Perucich Universidad de Las Américas, Santiago, Chile

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.22320/07183607.2021.24.43.04

Keywords:

Housing, prices, regression, urban development, economic evaluation

Abstract

Starting from the implementation of the National Urban Development Council in Chile, an Urban Development Indicators and Standards System has been put in motion. One of the main urban problems faced by Chilean cities is the increase in housing prices. From this, the study looks to find how urban attributes influence housing prices. For this purpose, 2047 housing projects were surveyed to review which urban development standards indicators best explain their prices. An analysis of main components and multiple linear regressions are applied, together with the variables. The results show a high price dependence on the financial autonomy of the communes, and indicate that residential segregation is incidental to the formation of housing price value.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biography

José Francisco Vergara-Perucich, Universidad de Las Américas, Santiago, Chile

PhD in Development Planning
Associate Professor and Director of the Space Production Centre.
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1930-4691

References

BALL, M. J. (1973). Recent empirical work on the determinants of relative house prices. Urban Studies, 10(2), 213-233.

BERRY, B. J. L. Y GARRISON, W. L. (1958). The Functional Bases of the Central Place Hierarchy. Economic Geography, 34(2), 145. DOI: https://doi. org/10.2307/142299

CAI, L. Y LIU, A. Y. C. (2015). Wage differentials between immigrants and the native-born in Australia. International Journal of Manpower, 36(3), 374– 396. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJM-04-2014-0104

CASE, K. E. Y SHILLER R. J. (1990). Forecasting Prices and Excess Returns in the Housing Market. American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association Journal, 18(3), 253–273.

CNN Chile (10 mayo 2019). Presidente del CChC advierte “crisis social” por difícil acceso a viviendas: “Se está convirtiendo en un bien inalcanzable.” Recuperado de https://www.cnnchile.com/economia/presidente-del-cchc-advierte-crisis-social-por-dificil-acceso-a-viviendas-se-esta-convirtiendo-en-un-bien-inalcanzable_20190510/

COHEN, J. P., IOANNIDES, Y. M. Y WIRATHIP THANAPISITIKUL, W. (2016). Spatial effects and house price dynamics in the USA. Journal of Housing Economics, 31, 1-13. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhe.2015.10.006

COHEN, J. P. Y ZABEL, J. (2020). Local House Price Diffusion. Real Estate Economics. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6229.12241

Consejo Nacional de Desarrollo Urbano [CNDU]. (2020). Sistema de Indicadores y Estándares Urbanos. Recuperado de https://cndu.gob.cl/ indicadores-2/

CORTÉS, Y. E ITURRA, V. (2019). Market versus public provision of local goods: An analysis of amenity capitalization within the Metropolitan Region of Santiago de Chile. Cities, 89, 92–104. DOI: https://doi. org/10.1016/j.cities.2019.01.015

COSKUN, Y. Y JADEVICIUS, A. (2017). Is There a Housing Bubble in Turkey? De Gruyter Open, 25(1), 48–73. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/ remav-2017-0003

DREGER, C. Y ZHANG, Y. (2013). Is there a Bubble in the Chinese Housing Market? Urban Policy and Research, 31(1), 27–39. DOI: https://doi.org/10.10 80/08111146.2012.711248

ENCINAS, F., AGUIRRE, C., TRUFFELLO, R. E HIDALGO-DATTWYLER, R. (2019). Speculation, land rent, and the neoliberal city. Or why free market is not enough. Revista ARQ, 1(102), 2–15.

ENCINAS, F., MARMOLEJO-DUARTE, C., WAGEMANN, E. Y AGUIRRE, C. (2019). Energy-Efficient Real Estate or How It Is Perceived by Potential Homebuyers in Four Latin American Countries. Sustainability, 11(13), 3531. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su11133531

EVANS, A. W. (1985). Urban Economics: An Introduction. Oxford: Blackwell Publishers Ltd.

FIGUEROA, E. Y LEVER, G. (1992). Determinantes del Precio de la Vivienda en Santiago: Una estimación hedónica. Estudios de Economía, 19(1), 67-84.

FUJITA, M., KRUGMAN, P. R. Y VENABLES, A. (1999). The spatial economy: Cities, regions, and international trade. Boston: MIT press.

GARCÍA RAMÓN, M. D. (1976). Valor actual del modelo de Von Thünen y dos comprobaciones empíricas. Revista de geografia, 1(10). 11-33. Recuperado de: https://core.ac.uk/download/pdf/39036311.pdf

GASIC, I. (2018). Inversiones e intermediaciones financieras en el mercado del suelo urbano. Principales hallazgos a partir del estudio de transacciones de terrenos en Santiago de Chile, 2010-2015. EURE (Santiago), 44(133), pp. 29-50. DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.4067/s0250- 71612018000300029

GIL-ALANA, L. A., DETTONI, R., COSTAMAGNA, R. Y VALENZUELA, M. (2019). Rational bubbles in the real housing stock market: Empirical evidence from Santiago de Chile. Research in International Business and Finance, 49, 269–281. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2019.03.010

GOODMAN, A. C. (1978). Hedonic prices, price indices and housing markets. Journal of Urban Economics, 5(4), 471-484. DOI:10.1016/0094- 1190(78)90004-9

HARVEY, D. (1985). The urbanization of capital. Studies in the history and theory of Capitalist Urbanization. Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, Primera Edición.

HIDALGO DATTWYLER, R., PAULSEN BILBAO, A. Y SANTANA RIVAS, L. (2016). El neoliberalismo subsidiario y la búsqueda de justicia e igualdad en el acceso a la vivienda social: El caso de Santiago de Chile (1970-2015). Andamios, 13(32), 57–81.

Infraestructura de Datos Espaciales [IDE] (2021). Sistema de Indicadores de Desarrollo Urbano (SIEDU), la nueva herramienta para avanzar en la equidad urbana. Ministerio de Bienes Nacionales. Recuperado de https:// www.ide.cl/index.php/noticias/item/1920-sistema-de-indicadores-de-desarrollo-urbano-siedu-la-nueva-herramienta-para-avanzar-en-la-equidad-urbana

ITURRA, V. Y PAREDES, D. (2014). Construction of a spatial housing price index by estimating an almost ideal demand system. Tijdschrift Voor Economische En Sociale Geografie, 105(3), 301–314. DOI: https://doi. org/10.1111/tesg.12067

LALLOUÉ, B., MONNEZ, J.-M., PADILLA, C., KIHAL, W., LE MEUR, N., ZMIROU-NAVIER, D. Y DEGUEN, S. (2013). A statistical procedure to create a neighborhood socioeconomic index for health inequalities analysis. International Journal for Equity in Health, 12(1), 1-11. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/1475-9276-12-21

MENA, G., MARTÍNEZ, P. P., MAHMUD, A. S., MARQUET, P. A., BUCKEE, C. O. Y SANTILLANA, M. (2021). Socioeconomic status determines COVID-19 incidence and related mortality in Santiago, Chile. MedRxiv : The Preprint Server for Health Sciences. DOI: https://doi. org/10.1101/2021.01.12.21249682

Ministerio de Vivienda y Urbanismo [MINVU]. (2021). Estadísticas Habitacionales. Recuperado de https://www.observatoriourbano.cl/ estadisticas-habitacionales/

NORDHAUS, W. D. Y SAMUELSON, P. A. (2006). Economía. Buenos Aires: Mac Graw Hill.

PARRADO, H. E., COX, P. P. Y FUENZALIDA, C. M. (2009). Evolucion de los Precios de Viviendas en Chile. Economia Chilena, 12(1).

QUIROGA, B. F. (2013). Hedonic Estimation with Unobserved Characteristics: An Application to the Housing Market in Santiago, Chile. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2356019

RAZMILIC, S. A. (2010). Property values , housing subsidies and incentives: evidence from Chile’s housing policies by Property values, housing subsidies and incentives: evidence from Chile’s housing policies. Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Recuperado de https:// dspace.mit.edu/bitstream/handle/1721.1/62112/708579235-MIT. pdf?sequence=2&isAllowed=y

REBELO, E. M. (2009). Land economic rent computation for urban planning and fiscal purposes. Land Use Policy, 26(3), 521–534. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2008.07.008

ROSEN, S. (1974). Hedonic prices and implicit markets: Product differentiation in pure competition. Journal of Political Economy, 82(1), 34-55.

SAGNER, A. (2009). Determinantes del precio de viviendas en Chile. Documentos de Trabajo (Banco Central de Chile), (549). Recuperado de: https://www.bcentral.cl/documents/33528/133326/ bcch_archivo_096953_es.pdf/f286badb-e6b5-b24e-1bc9- dfaef8234a6f?t=1573273496257

SHEPPARD, S. (1999). Chapter 41 Hedonic analysis of housing markets. Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, 3, 1595-1635. DOI: https:// doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0080(99)80010-8

SILVA, C. G. Y VIO, C. (2015). Los precios de vivienda y factores macroeconómicos: el caso de Chile. Economía chilena, 18(1). 1-21. Recuperado de: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12580/3570

TALTAVULL DE LA PAZ, P. (2003). Determinants of housing prices in Spanish cities. Journal of Property Investment & Finance, 21(2), 109-135. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/14635780310469102

VERGARA-PERUCICH, F. Y AGUIRRE-NÚÑEZ, C. (2020). Urban capital gain recovery simulation for line 3 of the Santiago Metro. Architecture, City and Environment, 14(42), 8963-8984. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5821/ ace.14.42.8963

VERGARA-PERUCICH, F. Y BOANO, C. (2018). El precio por el derecho a la ciudad ante el auge de campamentos en Chile . T he rise of urban slums in Chile. Revista AUS, (26), 51–57. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4206/aus.2019.n26-09

VERGARA-PERUCICH, F., CORREA-PARRA, J. Y AGUIRRE-NUÑEZ, C. (2020). Spatial correlation between COVID-19 propagation and vulnerable urban areas in Santiago de Chile. Critical Housing Analysis, 7(2), 21-35. DOI: 10.13060/23362839.2020.7.2.512

YAVUZ OZALP, A. Y AKINCI, H. (2017). The use of hedonic pricing method to determine the parameters affecting residential real estate prices. Arabian Journal of Geosciences, 10(24), 1-13. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12517-017- 3331-3

Published

2021-05-31

How to Cite

Vergara-Perucich, J. F. (2021). Urban determining factors of housing prices in Chile: a statistical exploration. Urbano, 24(43), 40–51. https://doi.org/10.22320/07183607.2021.24.43.04

Issue

Section

Artículos

Most read articles by the same author(s)

Similar Articles

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.